Despite a slight lag, the conductive effect of international oil prices above US0 per barrel has spread to the country. On the eve of the two sessions, a gas station in the northern suburbs of Beijing was unprecedentedly “crowded” with vehicles that had come to refuel. Drivers were sending a mesغير مجاز مي باشدe that was difficult to prove: Domestic oil prices couldn't stand still, so hurry up.
When the international oil price fluctuates greatly, the domestic oil market is filled with anxiety and anxiety. Many people are quite puzzled about this: increase oil production, gradually liberalize the market, and promote energy conservation and emission reduction... It should be said that we all have done or are doing in the international practice. Why do we have concerns about the supply of the community? Does the "oil shortage" also exist locally?
The reform of energy prices, including oil, has always been a suspense. During the two sessions this year, representatives and committee members actively provided suggestions and suggestions for energy security. He Shushan, deputy to the National People's Congress, believes that at present, China's oil prices and international oil prices are "limited connection", that is, crude oil prices have been brought into line with international oil prices a few years ago, while refined oil prices are regulated by relevant departments. This means that the absence of the current oil pricing mechanism is the main cause of the current status of the oil market.
With regard to the reform of the oil pricing mechanism, the relevant proposals and proposals of the two associations reached a consensus: under the control, domestic oil prices can hardly reflect the scarcity of resources, encouraging low-غير مجاز مي باشدt oil consumption to a certain extent, and contributing to unsmooth transmission of energy-saving pressure. Insufficiency eventually aggravated the contradiction between supply and demand in the oil market, and its impact extends to related industries.
According to the latest report of the International Energy Agency, global oil consumption increased by 1.2% in 2007, and the Middle East, Africa and China increased by 4.9%, 4.2% and 4.8%, respectively, ranking the top few. It is worth noting that negative growth has been achieved in North America and Europe.
Cha Daotang, a professor at Peking University, believes that the conspicuous growth of oil consumption in some countries and regions has contributed to the international oil sellers being engaged in a “gambling”: bets are placed on the expectation of a sustained and full recovery of the global economy and consumption growth in major importing countries. The trust of purchasing power. With this as a support, international oil capital can make waves, and it can hype and raise the price of oil.
As international oil prices have risen, China has been deeply affected by it, and the root cause comes from the regulation of domestic oil prices. Under the condition that the competitive oil market structure has not yet been established and market competition is not yet sufficient, it is obviously unrealistic to completely liberalize oil prices. Control is necessary, but the control itself does not mean that oil prices are unilaterally high or low.
Some delegates believe that the threat to China's energy security continues to be a factor. With rising oil prices, the غير مجاز مي باشدt of petroleum-consuming products will rise internationally. Under the “regulation” of prices, the prices of products and services that consume refined oil will not be affected by international oil prices. Chinese products have price advantages over foreign products. It is bound to increase the demand for Chinese products in the international market, which will increase the demand for refined oil products in China.
“Unbalanced regional development has led to a strong demand for refined oil in some domestic regions,” said Zhao Yongqi, deputy to the National People’s Congress. Taking Inner Mongolia as an example, the consumption of refined oil in the central regions of Hohhot and Baotou has continued to grow rapidly in recent years, and a large amount of refined oil is required to be transferred from the northeast and northwest regions. Due to factors such as long transport distance and tight railway transportation, short-term supply will be strained. situation.
Last year's "oil shortage" is very impressive. During this period, China imported a ton of diesel from the international market by about 7,600 yuan, while the price per ton of diesel in coastal areas was about 6,700 yuan. During this period, the price of 900 yuan was "upside down." This is a typical case of oil supply and demand.
One of the attributes of a resource is that it always follows the price. People are always willing to invest in higher-priced products, leading to price-controlled products can not get enough resources, leading to conflict between supply and demand. On the contrary, if prices are fully in place, people are reluctant to consume high-priced products, which will benefit the savings and safety of such products. The reform of the oil pricing mechanism involves a whole game of energy security. A move is good, all live.
In the relevant proposals and proposals, there are some good measures: Marketization is the basic direction of oil price reform; gradually realize the full integration of domestic oil prices with international oil prices; establish and improve the oil futures and spot markets, and fully participate in and actively influence international oil prices.
Some representatives suggested that, in parallel with the oil price reform, there should be heavy blows from several aspects: First, the growth of oil consumption must be strictly controlled, and the total consumption must be kept; second, strict control of ultra-conventional oil consumption, such as restrictions on high-energy-consuming vehicles. . At the same time, the analysis of the oil demand side has been strengthened, and the consumption has been fundamentally controlled.
The reform of oil prices is related to people's livelihood, and caution is inevitable. However, in the face of the challenges of the supply and demand situation, it is not necessary for energy security to be outstanding. Reforms need to work together. If all economic actors pursue the maximization of their own interests without considering the external environment, the result is most likely that all economic actors do not receive the benefits they expect.
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